Race output

Model version: v1.1

Source: Cursor

Single-speed trigger: OFF

Pace scenario: Honest contested

Class move score: 11

Distance change score: 00

Jockey change: Not flagged - No clear rider-upgrade or stable-mate choice edge called out in the paste.

Age maturity: Field reads mature (5–8yo types in the excerpts), so upside is more about form cycles and spacing than youthful progression.

Trainer signal: Trainer angles are thin in the provided text beyond obvious claim tags; no fresh barn-change edge to lean on.

Layoff pattern: RED FLAG - Several lines show long calendar gaps between published last-outs and today (e.g., Fiveeyesonskystars, Manor House as printed) and a recent claiming regression for Pure Class—treat as needing a readiness check; anybody with a true 2nd/3rd run off a long break gets a small progression plus.

Speed trend: Roar Ready and Vigano bring the better upward/recent ceiling; Top Maverick is volatile (big win figure two back, softer last); Pure Class’s last is a clear down-step vs prior OC form.

Surface switch: Pastes are overwhelmingly GP dirt/speed-variant friendly vs today’s GP dirt 7f, with only isolated wet/sloppy notes—no major turf flip risk for the main GP dirt samples.

Today's surface speeds: Pure Class has strong prior GP dirt numbers at allowance level; Roar Ready and Vigano have recent GP dirt routes/sprints with competitive tops; Top Maverick’s best dirt win came at GP.

Recent competitiveness: Top Maverick exits a strong GP win two back; Roar Ready has multiple near-top finishes with big-late kick angles; Vigano has rallied into the board in recent GP 7f tries; Pure Class’s last was uncompetitive in the claimer.

Winning form: FLAGGED POSITIVE - Top Maverick is a positive top-form signal off a recent GP dirt win (not off a layoff in the printed sequence), while Roar Ready/Vigano are more rally/consistency profiles than streakers here.

Speed tier: Likely top recent ceiling tier on Beyers shown: Top Maverick ~95 spike, Roar Ready ~87–89, Vigano ~88–79, Pure Class historically ~88 but last is ~57.

Lower-but-live override: FLAGGED LIVE - Pure Class is appreciably down on the last figure but can be live for a reclaim/class-drop rebound if the bad last was spacing/fitness; needs verification (works/short field).

Pace groups: Manor House: Leader (inside duel/lead-running patterns at best). Fiveeyesonskystars: Leader (duel/press-in PP). Alarik: Stalker/Leader-lite (high EP with chase/press lines). Pure Class: Stalker (persistent forward chase, rarely a solo wire job). Top Maverick: Closer (off-pace, wide-rally wins). Roar Ready: Closer (deep early, huge LP). Vigano: Closer (late-rally, staged). EP/LP broadly aligns except forward runners still send despite clustering.

Pace pressure: Manor House EP94 vs Alarik EP90 vs Fiveeyesonskystars EP76 vs Pure Class EP80 implies ~0.8–0.9L early between the two highest forward EPs if both send, but PP still says multiple Leader-types can pressure—more duel/honest than soft.

Lone speed edge: Not flagged

Post/trip risk: 7-horse field: inside won’t be as punitive as 9+, but Pure Class (1) and forward types still risk pace compression; closers (4/6/7) need breaks and a sustained pace.

Outside speed choice: Not flagged

Rail speed pressure: Not flagged

Rail low-EP traffic risk: Not flagged

No-speed chaos: Not flagged - Speed exists (Manor House/Alarik/Fiveeyesonskystars forward)—focus shifts to who survives pressure and which high-LP closers inherit.

EP+LP insight: High-LP closers Roar Ready and Vigano fit a pressured pace; Fiveeyesonskystars’ huge LP for a Leader-type is a duel-survival swing; do not downgrade habitual Leaders solely off modest EP gaps vs rivals.

EP+LP stamina edge: FLAGGED EDGE

EP+LP closer caveat: Deep closers can still be light on true middle-pace resolution—lean on PP run-style + real dirt figures more than EP alone.

Maiden starts: Not a maiden race.

Maiden improver: Not flagged

Maiden debut caution: Not flagged

Maiden over-raced caution: Not flagged

Maiden EP/LP ignored: NO

Maiden class drop: N/A — not maiden conditions.

Maiden jockey/trainer: N/A — not maiden conditions.

Maiden workouts: N/A — not maiden conditions.

Maiden firster policy: N/A — not maiden conditions.

Maiden firster exception: Not flagged

2yo pedigree proxy: N/A — not a 2yo/firster-heavy maiden.

Maiden step-forward: N/A — not maiden conditions.

Keep: 6 Roar Ready | 7 Vigano | 4 Top Maverick | 1 Pure Class

Toss: 2 Fiveeyesonskystars | 3 Manor House | 5 Alarik

Keep/toss rationale: Keep the two high-LP GP-proven closers plus the best peak-speed dirt winner and the class-drop reclamation swing; toss long-gap/inconsistent forward types that project pace meltdown or failure to sustain.

Score legend: +2 strong edge, +1 minor edge, 0 neutral/mixed, -1 minor concern, -2 major concern.