Race output

Model version: v1.1

Source: Cursor

Single-speed trigger: OFF

Pace scenario: Honest contested

Class move score: 11

Distance change score: 11

Jockey change: Not flagged - No clear rider upgrade/downgrade called out in the snippets versus stable riders.

Age maturity: Mostly 3yos with two 4yos (Marz Eatoats, Downtown Ro), giving the older pair a maturity edge in a rough turf sprint.

Trainer signal: Sample sizes mostly modest; no barn change signals beyond what is already embedded in PP lines.

Layoff pattern: No major red flag - No >90d red-flag gaps highlighted for the main contenders; several are short-cycle types into May.

Speed trend: Our Perfect Amanda sharply improved last (85); Pearl of Pearl volatile (big sprint vs poor route); Marz Eatoats mixed but prior turf spike remains relevant; several multi-try maidens look flat-to-choppy.

Surface switch: Today turf vs many recent dirt/synth lines—trust proven turf form first; cut-to-turf runners are pattern/projection bets.

Today's surface speeds: Marz Eatoats brings the clearest turf sprint résumé (e.g., prior turf fig cluster near 91/89); most rivals show thin or no turf Beyer depth.

Recent competitiveness: Our Perfect Amanda last hit the board in a tight 3rd; Pearl of Pearl was a nose sprint denial; I Love Ines has recent near-miss useful tries; Relentless Lady was a clear 2nd in lone debut.

Winning form: Not flagged - No unequivocal last-out winner among the prioritized quartet without a layoff nuance.

Speed tier: Recent top-3/4 figure band roughly clusters ~85–93 (Pearl sprint, Downtown Ro peak, Amanda last, Ignis Cor route-adjacent, I Love Ines last dirt).

Lower-but-live override: FLAGGED LIVE - Relentless Lady (57 on synth) is >5 off the top paper tier but stays fringe-live as a habitual forward runner second-time Lasix if she transfers speed to turf.

Pace groups: 1 Relentless Lady: Leader (debuts setting/repelling pace; EP106/LP28 aligns). 2 Deever Encounter: Closer (always-back lines; EP51/LP23). 3 Marz Eatoats: Stalker/presser with prior lead tries (multiple forward trips; EP83). 4 I Love Ines: Stalker (rail duel/stalk notes; EP72/LP40). 5 Lady Lullaby: Leader bias when sent (pace-set tries with fade; EP80). 6 Downtown Ro: Stalker (stalk/bid lines; EP83/LP57). 7 Ignis Cor: Closer (lag/belatedly; EP66/LP97 aligns). 8 Our Perfect Amanda: Stalker (tracked/stalk 3w; EP72/LP44). 9 Pearl of Pearl: Stalker (2–3w bids; EP66/LP60).

Pace pressure: Relentless Lady’s EP106 vs the next forward band near EP80–83 implies multiple early lengths on raw 5EP≈1L math if she truly fires on turf; still, several PP-forward types (3/5/6 plus stalkers 4/8/9) should prevent a completely solo lead—expect honest pressure.

Lone speed edge: Not flagged

Post/trip risk: 9 runners: inside low-EP stalkers can get sealed; wide draws can float on GP turf rails—forward outside types may avoid a pin but pay width.

Outside speed choice: Not flagged

Rail speed pressure: FLAGGED RISK

Rail low-EP traffic risk: FLAGGED RISK

No-speed chaos: Not flagged - N/A—there is identifiable pace with multiple forward runners; if speed bounces, prioritize strong-LP stalkers.

EP+LP insight: EP/LP supports Leader/Stalker divides after PP labels; ignore using EP alone to demote a PP Leader—Relentless Lady still projects send intent despite zero turf lines.

EP+LP stamina edge: FLAGGED EDGE

EP+LP closer caveat: Deep closer types (e.g., Ignis Cor) make EP+LP less central when middle-pace is absent from the figure pair.

Maiden starts: Prime window: 8 Our Perfect Amanda (2 starts). Caution: 3/4 with 9 tries; 9 Pearl with 4 tries is moderate.

Maiden improver: FLAGGED POSITIVE

Maiden debut caution: Not flagged

Maiden over-raced caution: FLAGGED CAUTION

Maiden EP/LP ignored: YES

Maiden class drop: Today MCL35 after repeated MSW/higher maiden tries signals win-seeking placement for several.

Maiden jockey/trainer: No firster barn-rate edge required; bookings read largely standard without a clear rider-choice coup.

Maiden workouts: Our Perfect Amanda shows active GP bullets; Pearl/Palm Miles patterns workable; overall workout data is supportive but not the primary edge here.

Maiden firster policy: Field contains no debut runners—firster elimination policy is not triggered.

Maiden firster exception: Not flagged

2yo pedigree proxy: Not a 2yo-firster heavy race; buy price still flags Pearl of Pearl as a class outlier versus many $20–35k counterparts (do not equate to sire fee 1:1).

Maiden step-forward: Step-forward shortlist centers on 8 and high-upside 9; downgrade chronic try peddlers lacking a new angle (esp. 2; fade-prone 5).

Keep: 3 Marz Eatoats | 8 Our Perfect Amanda | 9 Pearl of Pearl | 4 I Love Ines | 6 Downtown Ro | 1 Relentless Lady

Toss: 2 Deever Encounter | 5 Lady Lullaby | 7 Ignis Cor

Keep/toss rationale: Keep turf-proven plus the clearest 2nd-start step and buy-price upside; toss extreme one-paced/closer needs without pace shape and chronic rear runs.

Score legend: +2 strong edge, +1 minor edge, 0 neutral/mixed, -1 minor concern, -2 major concern.