Race output

Model version: v1.1

Source: Cursor

Single-speed trigger: OFF

Pace scenario: Honest with multiple forward types

Class move score: -1-1

Distance change score: 00

Jockey change: FLAGGED - Good Family draws Ortiz Jr for Cox (positive/choicey); Rhythm Lady to Morales may be a rider trim vs prior Prat/Hernandez mounts.

Age maturity: All 3-year-old fillies; modest maturity gaps likely come from experience/stamina more than age alone.

Trainer signal: Cox and Maker bring the strongest route-turf/allowance-volume signals; several others are light on stats in the printed angles.

Layoff pattern: RED FLAG - Embrace Time, Cooperation, Raiding Party, Turner's Charm carry >180-day angles (red-flag context); turf route slightly softens vs dirt sprint, but many are first or second run back where follow-up improvement is plausible (notably Turner's Charm / Embrace if they build).

Speed trend: Good Family and Call On Me show upward/stable top-line speed into today; Rhythm Lady dipped off a 75 turf allowance after earlier bigger figs; Turner's Charm's last route fig regressed vs prior 7f effort.

Surface switch: Today is turf; several last-out sprint or AW/dirt tries (e.g., Go to Girl / More Carats) add surface-distance variance, while proven last-out turf routers carry cleaner translation.

Today's surface speeds: Latest turf routes include Good Family 77 (FG) and 65; Call On Me 79 (KEE MSW); Raiding Party 79 (KEE MSW); Rhythm Lady 75 (KEE N1X turf route); Nelson's Penny 67 (FG OC).

Recent competitiveness: Multiple contenders hit the board recently or won last (Good Family, Call On Me, Raiding Party; Rhythm Lady strong second in graded company).

Winning form: FLAGGED POSITIVE - Good Family, Call On Me, and Raiding Party are last-race winners without a long return implied in their latest lines; long-layoff winners (Cooperation/Embrace) get credit but retain bounce/second-off variables.

Speed tier: Recent top cluster ~77-87 on turf-route lines: Embrace Time 87 (return), Call On Me 79, Raiding Party 79, Good Family 77, then Rhythm Lady 75 and Nelson's Penny 67.

Lower-but-live override: FLAGGED LIVE - Turner's Charm last route Beyer trails top tier but prior 7f figure and Walsh off layoff keeps live progression; Cooperation is slower on paper but pure pace/vibe and second-off-long-layoff upside can outrun fig.

Pace groups: Leader/Speed: Cooperation, Rhythm Lady, Good Family (Soloist AE if draws in). Tracker: Raiding Party; Nelson's Penny. Mid-Pack/stalk-close: Call On Me, Turner's Charm, Embrace Time, More Carats. Closer: Cool American; Go to Girl AE.

Pace pressure: No credible lone speed—Cooperation's huge EP teams with Good Family/Rhythm Lady pressure, so the best survivor is often a tracker/stalker with finishing LP (Good Family, Call On Me type) rather than pure fade-and-pray.

Lone speed edge: Not flagged

Post/trip risk: 10-stall local field: outside runners (esp. 9-10) may need early luck to avoid a three-wide loop; forward types drawn inside must avoid getting swarmed off Cooperation's potential send (Cooperation low LP is the pressure-release valve if duel melts).

Outside speed choice: FLAGGED EDGE

Rail speed pressure: FLAGGED RISK

Rail low-EP traffic risk: FLAGGED RISK

No-speed chaos: Not flagged - Speed exists; contingency is if Cooperation malfunctions—then prefer forwardly placed high-LP types over deep closers in a soft tempo.

EP+LP insight: Good Family and Rhythm Lady combine useful EP with respectable LP for 8.5f stalk/press roles; Cooperation is EP-heavy/LP-light (pace meltdown risk).

EP+LP stamina edge: FLAGGED EDGE

EP+LP closer caveat: Cool American and deep-closer types carry low EP; EP+LP is less decisive—need pace collapse and trip.

Maiden starts: Not a maiden race; start-count maidens framework largely N/A beyond lightly raced 3yo allowances generally.

Maiden improver: Not flagged

Maiden debut caution: Not flagged

Maiden over-raced caution: Not flagged

Maiden EP/LP ignored: NO

Maiden class drop: N/A—restricted OC/N1X route, not MSW-to-claiming dynamics.

Maiden jockey/trainer: N/A—experienced fields; still note barn riders (Ortiz/Geroux/Gaffalione/Saez) matter for placement.

Maiden workouts: Works mainly readiness maintenance for Cox/Walsh barns bullets are supportive but secondary to published races here.

Maiden firster policy: No first-time starters in main body; AE irrelevant to win-elimination unless entered.

Maiden firster exception: Not flagged

2yo pedigree proxy: 3yo OC turf, not a 2yo-firster heavy maiden; use pedigree as tie-break only after race figures and trips.

Maiden step-forward: N/A—evaluate step-forward via allowance progression (Good Family/Call On Me) rather than maiden ladders.

Keep: No explicit keep list.

Toss: No explicit toss list.

Keep/toss rationale: No keep/toss rationale provided.

Score legend: +2 strong edge, +1 minor edge, 0 neutral/mixed, -1 minor concern, -2 major concern.